With the high profile murder of an American journalist, the Islamic State has committed a gigantic strategic error.
With the stroke of a knife and a YouTube video, the pendulum of American public opinion may be swinging against the Islamic State. If ISIL follows through with their threats of attacks on the American public, they will find themselves starting down the gun barrel of an M1 Abrams tank.
ISIL has achieved successes fighting against the rabble in Syria, the Iraqi army, the Syrian army, and the kurds. However, the USA military killing machine is a far more formidable and deadly opponent.
I predict that ISIL's days as a highly visible organization will soon end. While American public support for the second Iraqi war was split, a war against a group perceived as thugs and bullies is exactly the type of war that the American public is willing to support. Public comments on news stories about ISIL are already comparing the Islamic State to Nazi Germany.
I will be watching with interest to see how quickly ISIL manages to sway US public opinion towards supporting a broader military intervention in Iraq by the American government. ISIL's leadership clearly has a poor understanding of the American public and our intolerance of bullying. ISIL's hubris will surely be their downfall in the end. Perhaps the Islamic State may be the common enemy that finally manages to unite the Middle East.
At this point, most Americans would agree, the current airstrikes that are happening are well justified. This is no longer the War on Terror. Much like World War 2, it is a war against extremism.Follow me on Twitter @november17